Southern California Home Sales Up, Prices Level Off in June

Southern California’s housing market’s sales volume rose slowly in June as the median price slipped back slightly from May, but remained 13 percent higher than a year ago. A total of 23,871 new and resale homes were sold in Los Angeles, Riverside, San Diego, Ventura, San Bernardino and Orange counties last month. That was up 7.2 percent for May, and up 2.6 percent from June 2009.  The sales count was the highest since July last year. It was the strongest month of June since 2006.

“The market was wildly out of kilter a year ago, now it’s just somewhat out of kilter. We’re still seeing lots of bargain hunting, and we’re not seeing much discretionary buying. Still, more money was spent last month buying homes in Southern California than in the past two years, and more money was loaned. The tax credits had something to do with that, though it’s not clear exactly how much. With the impact of the credits fading fast, the next few months will tell us a lot”, said John Walsh, MDA DataQuick president.

The median price paid for a Southern California home was $300,000 last month. That was down 1.6 percent from $305,000 in May, and up 13.2 percent from $265,000 for June 2009. The low point of the current cycle was $247,000 in April 2009, the high point was $505,000 in mid 2007. The median’s peak-to-trough drop was due to a decline in home values as well as a shift in sales toward low-cost homes, especially foreclosures.

Indicators of market distress continue to move in different directions. Foreclosure activity remains high by historical standards but is lower than peak levels reached over the last two years. Financing with multiple mortgages is low, down payment sizes are stable, and non-owner occupied buying is above- average, MDA DataQuick reported.

In Los Angeles, and especially on the Westside and Santa Monica, the next few months should be good indicators of how the market is trending.

 

Market Conditions for Sunset Park in Santa Monica, California

The Sunset Park neighborhood of Santa Monica, which has approximately 2700 single family homes, has been a very active market in the past few months. There are only 23 homes currently available with an average amount of more than 100 days listed on the market.

As of the third week of May, there are currently 15 properties that are in escrow and under contract. And since March of this year there have been 19 homes that have sold and closed escrow.

This is a positive market indicator of a neighborhood that shows a high demand with a very limited inventory.

In this market, buyers are being much more meticulous with their searches.  They are definitely looking for value since longer term goals are much more of the focus. I am seeing properties selling with multiple offers and selling above their asking prices. It is evident that buyers only make offers if they perceive that the value is there and the property might not be available tomorrow.

 

Pending Home Sales Gain, Possible Spring Surge

According to the National Association of Realtors:

Pending home sales rose in February, potentially signaling a second surge of home sales in response to the home buyer tax credit.  The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator based on contracts signed in February, rose 8.2 percent to 97.6 from a downwardly revised 90.2 in January, and remains 17.3 percent above February 2009 when it was 83.2. The data reflects contracts and not closings, which usually occur with a lag time of one or two months.

The Pending Home Sales Index is based on a scale of 1 to 100.  One hundred is equal to the average level of contract activity during 2001, which was the first year to be examined as well as the first of five consecutive record years for existing-home sales.  The index breaks out differently from region to region. In the Northeast the index rose 9.0 percent to 77.7 in February and is 18.9 percent higher than February 2009. In the Midwest the index jumped 21.8 percent to 97.9 and is 18.7 percent above a year ago.  Pending home sales in the South increased 9.2 percent to an index of 107.0, and the index is 17.5 percent higher than February 2009. In the West the index fell 4.8 percent to 98.0 but is 14.6 percent above a year ago.

These numbers and anecdotal evidence from various markets around the country, has led the National Association of Realtors to suggest that there is a distinct possibility of surge in home sales for the spring.  According to the NAR’s chief economist, Lawrence Yun:

“Anecdotally, we’re hearing about a rise of activity in recent weeks with ongoing reports of multiple offers in more markets, so the March data could demonstrate additional improvement from buyers responding to the tax credit.”

All of this together looks like good news for the market as a whole and Los Angeles in particular.

 

State of California Housing Market

More First-Time Buyers in Real Estate Market

Affordable home prices, tax credits for home buyers, historically low interest rates, and a large number of distressed properties prompted many first-time home buyers to enter the market in 2009, according to C.A.R.’s 2009-2010 “State of the California Housing Market” report released today.

California’s median home price hit bottom in February 2009 at $245,170. Since then, the median home price has increased steadily in month-to-month comparisons, but remained below 2008 levels throughout 2009. The annual median price is projected to increase to $280,000 in 2010 from $271,000 in 2009.

Homes priced $500,000 or less dominated the sales mix throughout 2008 and early 2009, but peaked at 85 percent in January 2009. Meanwhile, the market share of homes sold for more than $500,000 increased from 15 percent in January 2009 to 25 percent in July 2009, holding steady around that figure for the remainder of last year.